NEW JERSEY – A significant change in weather is on the way from this week’s pleasant weather as a storm system moves in from the west and Hurricane Ernesto creates poor coastal conditions off the coast to the east.

Friday will be warm and dry, but according to meteorologists at the National Weather Service, the risk of showers and thunderstorms will increase starting Saturday.

It will also be humid, say meteorologists. There may be heavy rain in some places and a few thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon and evening. However, the entire weekend is not expected to be a disaster.

“Coastal areas may remain dry for most of Saturday,” the National Weather Service said, but Hurricane Ernesto will cause dangerous rip currents and rough surf even as the storm passes east of our area.

This weekend will be unsettled as rain showers and a few thunderstorms increase at times, especially each afternoon and evening. High risk of dangerous rip currents and rough surf at all New Jersey and Delaware beaches this weekend. #njwx #taux #pawtex #mdwx pic.twitter.com/fcQZtB9K2j
— NWS Mount Holly (@NWS_MountHolly) 16 August 2024

Since it was dry last week, flooding is not expected to be a cause for concern.

“There is still a possibility of flash flooding in small streams and urban areas where there is a few hours of rain,” said Dan Pydynowski, AccuWeather’s senior meteorologist. “But such conditions are more localized.”

According to the National Weather Service, there is a slightly increased risk of flash flooding on Sunday.

Here is the latest forecast.

North Jersey

Friday: Sunny, maximum temperature around 32 °C. Calm, southerly wind at around 10 km/h in the afternoon.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.

Saturday: 20% chance of rain after 2pm. Partly sunny, high around 29°C. Southeast wind 8 to 17 km/h.

Saturday night: 50% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms, especially after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, low around 22°C. South wind 11 to 14 km/h.

Sunday: Showers likely and possible thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, high around 27°C. South wind 13 to 21 km/h. Chance of precipitation 60%. Nine precipitation amounts between 0.25 and 0.35 mm, but higher amounts are possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday night: Showers likely and a possible thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, low around 71. Chance of precipitation 70%. Nine precipitation amounts between 0.25 and 0.45 mm, but higher amounts are possible with thunderstorms.

Central Jersey

Friday: Sunny, maximum temperature around 30 degrees Celsius. Calm, southerly wind at around 8 km/h in the afternoon.

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. South wind around 5 mph.

Saturday: Scattered showers between 2 and 5 p.m. Partly sunny, high around 29 °C. South wind 8 to 16 km/h. Chance of precipitation 20%.

Saturday night: Scattered thunderstorms before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then likely showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, low around 20°C. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70%. Nine precipitation amounts of less than 0.25mm, with higher amounts possible except in thunderstorms.

Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5 p.m. High around 82. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, with higher amounts possible except in thunderstorms.

Sunday night: Showers and possible thunderstorms, mainly before 2 a.m., then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2 a.m. Low around 69. Chance of precipitation 80%. New precipitation amounts between 0.6 and 1.3 cm possible.

South Jersey

Friday: Sunny, maximum temperature around 30 degrees Celsius. West wind around 8 km/h, becoming southwest in the afternoon.