On Sunday, Carlos Alcaraz (No. 3 in the world) will face Tallon Griekspoor (No. 39) in the round of 16 of the China Open. Alcaraz has the advantage over Griekspoor, with odds of -1587 compared to +775 for the underdog.

In their last game on Thursday, Griekspoor defeated Miomir Kecmanovic in three sets 6:7, 6:4, 6:3 to advance to the round of 32.

Alcaraz’s last game on Friday was a two-set victory over Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4, 6-4 in the round of 32.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM sports betting. Odds updated at 3:45 a.m. ET on Sunday. For a complete list of sports betting odds, visit the USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Griekspoor vs Alcaraz match information

• Tournament: The China Open
• Round: Round of 16
• Date: Sunday, September 29th
• Venue: National Tennis Center
• Location: Beijing, China
• Court surface: Hard

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Griekspoor statistics

• In 53 games over the last 12 months (on all pitch surfaces), Griekspoor has played 27.9 games per game (26.4 in best-of-three games) and won 50.0% of them.
• In 30 hardcourt games in the last 12 months, Griekspoor has played 27.3 games per game (26.8 in best-of-three games) and won 50.1% of them.
• Last year, Griekspoor won 18.0% of its home and away games and 81.7% of its service games.
• On hard courts, Griekspoor has won 83.1% of his service games and 17.3% of his return games in the last 12 months.
• In his last 10 tournaments, Griekspoor has won 21.7% of his return games and 79.9% of his service games.
• Griekspoor has converted a total of 108 of 293 breakpoints (36.9%) in the last 12 months and is ranked 94th in breakpoints won.
• In his last 10 tournaments, Griekspoor has converted 48 of 124 (38.7%) break points on all surfaces.

Alcaraz statistics

• Alcaraz averaged 25.1 plays per game (20.3 in best-of-three games) across all court surfaces in his 60 games over the last 12 months, winning 58.1% of those games.
• Alcaraz has averaged 23.1 games per game (20.7 in best-of-three games) and 9.6 games per set in 30 hardcourt matches over the last 12 months, winning 56.7% of those matches.
• Alcaraz is 620 of 748 in service games (a winning percentage of 82.9%) and 254 of 756 in return games (33.6%) on all surfaces.
• Alcaraz has a win rate of 83.7% in service games on hard courts and a win rate of 30.1% in return games.
• Alcaraz has won 35.8% of his return games and 83.3% of his serve games in his last 10 tournaments.
• With 233 break points (won from a total of 562 break points last year – 41.5% win rate), Alcaraz is in 32nd place on the tour.
• Alcaraz has converted 44.1% of his break point chances (171 of 388) in his last 10 tournaments.

Tallon Griekspoor vs. Carlos Alcaraz in a direct duel

• Alcaraz has a 2-0 record against Griekspoor. Their last meeting at the Olympic Games on July 29, 2024 was won by Alcaraz 6-1, 7-6.
• Alcaraz won four of them in four sets against Griekspoor (100.0%).
• In a total of 42 games between Alcaraz and Griekspoor, Alcaraz is at the top and has won 26 of them.
• In two direct meetings, Griekspoor and Alcaraz played 21.0 games and 2.0 sets per game.