Houston Astros (81-69) vs. San Diego Padres (86-65)
September 18, 2024, 6:40 p.m. EDT
The line: San Diego Padres -106 / Houston Astros -111; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Astros and San Diego Padres face off in the third MLB game at Petco Park on Wednesday. Here is a prediction for San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros. This article contains picks for San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros have a record of 82-69 this year and play the Angels and Mariners next. The Houston Astros have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and have scored 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The Houston Astros have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 180 hits and 63 RBI, while Yordan Alvarez and Yainer Diaz have combined for 327 hits and 166 RBI.
Betting preview for the San Diego Padres
The San Diego Padres have a record of 86-66 this year and play the White Sox and Dodgers next. The San Diego Padres have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The San Diego Padres have won 4 games in a row when scoring 4 or more runs. Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres with 155 hits and 102 RBI, while Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill have combined for 302 hits and 169 RBI.
Pitching pick duel between Houston Astros and San Diego Padres
Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Houston Astros and has a record of 14-6 with a 2.91 ERA and 159 strikeouts this season. Valdez has allowed 7 hits and 1 run in his last 13.1 innings. Valdez has a 3.56 ERA and a .228 batting average allowed in 73.1 innings on the road. Valdez has a career record of 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the San Diego Padres.
Dylan Cease gets the ball for the San Diego Padres and has a record of 13-11 with a 3.58 ERA and 215 strikeouts this season. Cease has allowed 12 hits and 7 runs in his last 17 innings. Cease has a 3.36 ERA and a .215 batting average allowed in 77.2 home innings. Cease has a career record of 0-3 with a 4.18 ERA and 35 strikeouts against the Houston Astros.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last five games against American League opponents after a loss.
- The Astros have lost their last four games against the Padres after an away win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in five of their last six-day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents after winning on the road.
Facts about the San Diego Padres player props
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as the home favorite against the Astros.
- Jurickson Profar has hit a double in three of the Padres’ last four games against AL opponents.
- Dylan Cease has won each of his last five Wednesday day appearances.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last six games as favorites against the Astros.
- Manny Machado has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Astros after playing the previous day.
- Dylan Cease has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last nine Wednesday appearances with his team as the favorite.
- Luis Arraez has hit at least one single in 14 of the Padres’ last 15 games.
- Jurickson Profar has scored at least one goal in each of his last 10 home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Dylan Cease ranks third in the league in total strikeouts (215) this season.
Facts about the Houston Astros player props
- Jason Heyward has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two-day games.
- Jose Altuve has hit at least a double in five of the Astros’ last six games against NL West opponents with a winning record.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight day game appearances against NL West teams with winning records.
- Framber Valdez has won one game in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Jose Altuve has hit at least one single in each of his last eight appearances with the Astros as an underdog against the Padres.
- Framber Valdez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with the Astros as an underdog against NL opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez has scored at least one goal in each of his last 11 away appearances against opponents with a winning record.
- Ben Gamel has recorded a point in each of his last eight appearances against opponents with a winning record.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks fourth among qualified players this season in terms of on-base percentage (.392).
Facts about the game/league
- The San Diego Padres are ranked first in the league in hits (1,377) this season.
- The San Diego Padres are ranked first in the league this season with their batting average (.265).
- The Houston Astros are second in the league in hits (1,358) this season.
- The Houston Astros are in second place in the league in strikeouts (1,375) this season.
Prediction San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros
One could argue for both sides, as both teams are hot and a pitching duel of Framber Valdez and Dylan Cease are great. However, I’ve been betting a lot on the Padres in the second half and they haven’t disappointed me much. The San Diego Padres have been one of the best teams in baseball over the last two months and I’m just not eager to take them as long as the price is right. Since I’m at home and have a pick-em spot, I have to take the Padres.
