NEW YORK – The astronomical beginning of fall is only a few days away and arrives on Sunday. Before we can fully enjoy the fresh autumn air and colorful leaves, let’s take a look at the coming winter months.

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center recently released its updated winter Outlook that gives an insight into what Americans can expect from December to February. The forecast points to a typical The Little Girl Pattern.

The influence of La Niña is expected to dominate weather conditions from December to February, according to NOAA. This often leads to wetter conditions in the north of the country, while the south may experience drier than average weather.

NOAA predicts a 71 percent chance of La Niña occurring between September and November, with the cooling trend possibly continuing through January-March 2025. While a moderate to strong La Niña is less likely in the fall and winter, it is still a possibility.

Until the February-April 2025 season El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ESNO)-neutral conditions are expected to return.

NOAA expects the greatest likelihood of above-average temperatures to be in much of the eastern and southern regions, as well as the northwest. Alaska.

The greatest probability for warmer temperatures is expected on the Gulf Coast and in the Southeastincluding Floridaaccording to NOAA.

The outlook also favors cooler temperatures than usual from the Pacific northwest to the northern Rocky Mountains and the northern plains.

More precipitation is expected in northern regions this winter

The Northwest USGreat Lakes, Northeast and much of Northwest Alaska will most likely experience above-average precipitation this winter, according to NOAA. However, this does not guarantee snowier Conditions.

Drier than average weather is expected in the southwest, south and southeast of the United States and parts of Alaska. The Rio Grande Valley in Texas and according to NOAA, the southern High Plains have the highest risk of below-average precipitation.

In the rest of the United States, the probability of below-average, average, or above-average precipitation is about the same from December to February.

Droughts worsen in the South and Midwest

La Niña could intensify dryness According to NOAA, weather conditions in the South will be very poor this winter, as the southern part of the country is at increased risk for drier than average weather conditions through the end of the year.

This past SummerThe drought spread across much of the Great Plains and intensified, in the middle to lower Mississippi Valley, Southeast and Ohio Canyon.

“Persistent drought is forecast for much of the Ohio Valley and central Appalachians, where large precipitation deficits have existed for 6 to 12 months,” NOAA said in its Current outlook.

However, there is a chance for improvement east of the Appalachians, including the western parts of Maryland And Virginia.

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The source:

This information is based on the latest winter weather forecast from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, as reported by FOX Weather.