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NFL picks and odds for Week 4 Vikings-Packers and Bills-Ravens
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NFL picks and odds for Week 4 Vikings-Packers and Bills-Ravens

Sunday’s Week 5 opener to close out September features five undefeated NFL teams. That includes two surprises in the NFC – the Minnesota Vikings and the Seattle Seahawks. The Pittsburgh Steelers are also 3-0 in the AFC, along with two preseason Super Bowl favorites – the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills.

The two games with the most viewers and betting on Sunday September 29th include:

Betting dates change throughout the day at the leading online sportsbooks. Entering Friday, the Vikings and Packers spread money was almost evenly split, with the number of bets on the Vikings exceeding 55%.

The Bills took about two out of every three bets and more than 57% of the spread money.

Prop bets also dominate the watch and betting action, with player props being the most popular.

“The Game of the Day early Sunday is a division rivalry matchup between the Packers and the Vikings, and it is also a revenge game for former Packer Aaron Jones. He is by far our leading touchdown scorer in this game as the public loves the revenge angle,” reports the FanDuel Sportsbook trading team. “We saw almost four times as many bets on Jones (+135) as the next highest player to score a touchdown on Sunday, and we saw a disproportionate number of bets on his overs.”

Vikings RB Aaron Jones over/under rushing yards support is 58.5 yards.

Last year’s regular-season most valuable player, Lamar Jackson, has already racked up nearly 1,000 yards in three games, but the Ravens are 1-2 as they beat the undefeated Buffalo Bills and current MVP favorite QB Josh Allen (+250 ), received. Jackson (254 rush yards) and Derrick Henry (281 yards and 4 touchdowns) are the league’s co-leaders with 204 rushing yards per game; tied with the Packers.

Jackson’s rushing yards prop against the Bills is O/U 58.5, while Henry is at 68.5 and Josh Allen is at 29.5. Jackson’s passing yards prop is O/U 200.5 and Allen’s is 233.5.

NFL odds for week 4

Professional football Opportunities from FanDuel Sportsbook are updated regularly and are subject to change, including props and live betting. Listed Point spreads on favorites.

  • Cincinnati (-4.5) at Carolina, game total 47.5
  • Denver at New York Jets (-7.5), 39.5
  • New Orleans vs. Atlanta (-3), 41.5
  • Minnesota at Green Bay (-2.5), 43.5
  • Jacksonville at Houston (-6.5), 44.5
  • Pittsburgh (-2.5) at Indianapolis, 40.5
  • Los Angeles Rams at Chicago (-3), 40.5
  • Philadelphia (-1.5) at Tampa Bay, 42.4
  • New England at San Francisco (-10.5), 40.5
  • Washington at Arizona (-3.5), 49.5
  • Cleveland (-1.5) at Las Vegas, 36.5
  • Kansas City (-7) at Los Angeles Chargers, 39.5
  • Buffalo at Baltimore (-2.5), 46.5 – Sunday Night Football
  • Tennessee at Miami (-1.5), 36.5 – Monday Night Football
  • Seattle at Detroit (-3.5), 46.5 – Monday Night Football

Bet types, point spreads and how to read the odds

NFL Week 3 Injury reports

In addition to the important Vikings-Packers division game on Sunday, the Saints-Falcons game in Atlanta shows the Saints going on an 11-2 ATS run as the division’s away underdogs. The winless Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) play the AFC South Division-leading Houston Texans (2-1) and the visiting team has a 5-0 SU/ATS streak in the series. But Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence ranks 27th overall among quarterbacks this season with a QB rating of 75.1. The final division game is Sunday in Los Angeles, where the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) take on the Chargers (2-1), who will likely play without starting quarterback Justin Herbert (ankle) as the Chargers next Having a bye week gives him more rest. Taylor Heineke, playing for his seventh team, would make his first start for the Chargers if Herbert is out.

Minnesota at Green Bay

The Vikings are the first team in 23 seasons to have at least 5 sacks in each of their first three games. The blitz-heavy scheme has put pressure on quarterbacks and helped Minnesota finish No. 1 in the NFC with just 10 points per game, while also winning their last two games as home underdogs. Green Bay’s -2.5 betting line suggests QB Jordan Love will return to the field after missing the Packers’ last two games with a knee injury. He still won’t be at 100% when he plays, and regardless of whether Love or Malik Willis starts at quarterback, they’ll be under more pressure from the Vikings’ blitz attack.

Minnesota was picked to finish last in the NFC North, but Vikings first-year QB Sam Darnold ranks 5th in the NFL in QBR (quarterback rating) with a league-high 8 touchdown passes. Three of those TD passes went to star receiver Justin Jefferson, who ranks in the top five in the league in receiving yards per game (91) and yards per reception (19.5). The Vikings +3 is a bet offered at BetMGM and Draftkings. The Playbook Sports Totals Tip Sheet features a top over/under game on the Vikings-Packers game under 43.5 points with a number of situational and technical trends, including 1-9 over/under for teams with back-to-back home wins from underdogs have.

Buffalo in Baltimore

The Ravens (#6) have played a stronger SOS than the Bills (#24), and Baltimore is rushing for 204 yards per game while allowing just 50 rushing yards per game for the best rushing differential at the point of attack in the league. The Bills defense ranks 27th allowing 0.02 EPA (Expected Points Added) per rush and will likely struggle to slow down the Ravens’ ground attack. The Ravens also lead the NFL with 5.9 yards per rush and 6.6 yards per game on offense, while the Bills average 6.1 yards per game and allow an AFC-low 4.2 yards per game, which translates to a net YPPL of +1.9 versus the Ravens’ +0.9. Lamar Jackson has two turnovers this season, while Josh Allen has lost a fumble, with a 7-0 TD-to-INT ratio and a career-high 75% completion percentage through three games. Jackson could have difficulty hitting open receivers, as the Bills’ two cornerbacks are only allowing 0.20 yards per coverage snap (No. 2 in the NFL).

Some fundamental advantages at the point of attack for Baltimore if Jackson can protect the football and convert opportunities in the red zone into touchdowns to score more points than expected. Playbook Sports adds this tech trend in support of the Ravens. Undefeated teams like Buffal0 (3-0) in Game 4 that were in the playoffs last season are 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS as away underdogs, including 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS against an opponent, who is eliminated is a victory. Dr. Bob Sports is putting this nail in the book for Bills betting proponents. Teams that scored 31 points or more and allowed fewer than 14 points in consecutive games (Bills) are just 4-29 ATS on the road, including 2-28 when they are not underdogs of 7 points or more. Also. Lamar Jackson is 27-4-2 ATS in regular season games when not favored by 4 or more points. Teaser bettors point out that the Bills have played 44 straight games without losing by more than 6 points.

The odds are better that another undefeated team will fall in a higher scoring game on Sunday night.

You can bet on it.

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