MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki said Tuesday that although former President Trump is three percentage points behind Vice President Kamala Harris, he has had worse results in previous elections and could win again, or at least come close.

“If you’re a Republican and you look at the Labor Day polling average, that may be a little comfort to you too, because Donald Trump is familiar with that position and is trailing in a Labor Day presidential election,” Kornacki said.

According to a national poll average, Harris is ahead of Trump 48% to 45% about two months before Election Day.

“In 2016, after Labor Day, he was on average five points behind Hillary Clinton. Of course, Trump won in 2016. In 2020, he was on average even further behind Joe Biden. And yet he didn’t come back and win, but he came back and was close, Trump, in the Electoral College,” Kornacki said.

MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki said Tuesday that based on past elections, Donald Trump may be in a better position than Republicans believe, despite his deficit to Vice President Harris. (Screenshot/MSNBC)

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“From Trump’s perspective, being three points behind might in some ways look better than the last two times,” Kornacki added.

He also noted that Democrats would be happy with the national polling average because Harris is in the lead, which is a stark contrast to President Biden’s poll numbers before he dropped out of the race.

CNN data guru Henry Enten made a similar argument in August, pointing out that Trump has been consistently underestimated in polls in the past.

Enten said Trump was underestimated by an average of nine points in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in 2016 and by five points in 2020.

Former President and Republican candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally in Asheboro, North Carolina on Wednesday. (Kate Medley for The Washington Post via Getty Images)

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“The bottom line is, if you have a hunch – if you’re a Kamala Harris fan and you want to open the champagne bottle and pop the cork, don’t. Donald Trump is very much in this race. If there is a shift in the polls from now until the final result, as we’ve seen in years past, Donald Trump would actually win. I’m not saying that will happen, but I am saying he is very much in this race, given where he stands now and comparing that to where he has been in previous years,” Enten said, based on polls from early August.

Nate Silver, a polling and data analysis guru, joined Fox News’ Bret Baier in August and also noted that Trump has been underestimated in the past.

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“First of all, we still have three months to go. There will be more surprises. And secondly, the polls have been proven wrong before. In the last two general elections, they underestimated Trump,” he said, noting that Harris had a slight lead in the polls then, all within the margin of error.