The Boston Red Sox (76-78) welcome the Minnesota Twins (81-73) to Fenway Park on Saturday for the second of their 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s check out BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs Red Sox Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 3-1

The Twins beat the Red Sox 4-2 to open the series on Friday.

The win snapped a two-game losing streak. Minnesota, which fell to third place in the AL Central, lost 3 of 4 to the Cleveland Guardians in the previous series and 2 of 3 to the Cincinnati Reds before that. It is 39-40 on the road and 71-83 against the spread (ATS).

The Red Sox lost on Friday and have now lost two games in a row. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and their bats are really struggling. Boston has scored a total of 9 runs in their last 5 games. This season they are 35-41 at home and 71-83 ATS.

Expected starters for the Twins and Red Sox

RHP Pablo Lopez against RHP Cutter Crawford

Lopez (15-8, 3.84 ERA) is making his 31st start. He has a WHIP of 1.15, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 175 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in the 4-3 road loss to the Cleveland Guardians on Monday
• Away statistics 2024: 8-4, 4.02 ERA (94 IP, 42 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 16 starts
• Career against Red Sox: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 13.1 K/9 in 2 starts

Crawford (8-15, 4.19 ERA) is making his 32nd start. He has a WHIP of 1.10, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 171 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 5-2 road loss to the New York Yankees on Sunday
• Home stats 2024: 4-8, 4.08 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 40 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 16 starts
• Career vs. Twins: 1-1, 6.55 ERA (11 IP, 8 ER), 1.91 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)

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Twins at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Twins -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+120) | Red Sox +1.5 (-145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Tips and predictions for the Twins at the Red Sox

forecast

Twins 5, Red Sox 2

Money line

BET TWINS (-145).

The Twins have played well with Lopez on the mound lately, going 4-1 in his last 5 starts. Minnesota has nearly a .500 record on the road, while Boston has been worse at home than away.

The Red Sox have struggled offensively over the last week and will likely continue to struggle against a strong starter like Lopez. Boston has gone 9-20 in their last 5 games.

It can be assumed that these trends will continue and TWINS (-145).

Running Line/Against the Spread

HAPPEN.

There isn’t much value here. The Twins are too risky as run-line favorites and the Red Sox are way too expensive as run-line underdogs. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-120).

The Red Sox have gone under in three straight games and in five of their last six games. Boston has allowed just seven runs in their last three games and scored four in that span.

The Twins have been on a similar streak lately, being 1-3 O/U in their last 4 games. They are 1-2-2 O/U in Lopez’s last 5 starts. Minnesota has scored just 10 runs and allowed 10 in their last 3 games.

Take UNDER 8 (-120).

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