Game: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, September 13, 2024

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, DC

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/point distribution: Miami (+144) Washington (-175)

The Miami Marlins (54-92) are headed to Nationals Park on Friday to face the Washington Nationals (65-80). The moneyline for this game is +144 for Miami and -175 for Washington. The odds are 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Edward Cabrera and Mitchell Parker.

The Marlins as a team have recorded 215 two-baggers and hit 133 balls out of the park. Miami has a slugging percentage of .372 and has posted 1,254 strikeouts while walking 357 times. As a team, the Miami Marlins are batting 3.8 runs per game, which ranks them 29th in the MLB. They have 535 runs batted in this year, as well as 1,192 hits, while their batting average is .241. They have accumulated 556 runs and hold a team OBP of .297.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.38 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.38. The Marlins’ pitchers have allowed 170 home runs and 753 total runs (28th in baseball). Miami has allowed 1,284 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 680 earned runs. The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.73 this season (28th in the league) and their team has struck out 1,198 hitters. They have walked 503 of the other team’s players and their FIP as a team is 4.39 so far this year.

The Marlins’ bullpen has posted a 51.9% save rate and has entered the game in 123 save situations. Relievers have taken on 220 baserunners this year, with 37.7% of them crossing home plate. Marlins’ bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 158 times and have had 169 appearances in high-pressure situations. The Marlins have sent 501 relievers to the mound this season. Relievers have recorded 69 holds this season (23rd in MLB). They have earned 27 saves this season and have failed to capitalize on 25 of 52 opportunities to earn a save.

The Miami Marlins have totaled 3,880 putouts this season, along with 1,301 assists and 102 errors. Their fielding percentage is .981, which ranks them 29th in professional baseball, and they have forced 109 double plays. The Marlins have turned 68.0% of balls in play into outs in their 11,640 innings on the field, which ranks them 28th in the major leagues.

Cabrera (career record 17-20 wins/losses) has a FIP of 4.22 despite facing 1,202 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 219 base hits (7.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 161 walks. His earned run average is 4.28 (133 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.360. Cabrera has pitched 280 innings and has 311 punch outs in his MLB career.

Washington has hit 121 home runs and 573 runs batted in during the season. They have hit 250 two-baggers, gotten a free base 416 times and scored 609 runs. The Washington Nationals have a .312 on-base percentage and a .245 batting average for the year. The Nationals have a .379 slugging percentage and are scoring 4.20 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have hit a base 1,085 times (26th in baseball) and have 1,180 total base hits.

The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.347 and a FIP of 3.97 as a pitching team for the year. They rank 28th in baseball with 1,302 total hits allowed. Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 694 runs on the season and posted a 4.35 ERA (621 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.30 (1,181 strikeouts versus 428 walks). They have allowed 152 home runs and are giving up 4.86 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball).

Washington has called bullpen pitchers to the mound in 56 save situations and has made 37 saves. They rank 10th in MLB with a save rate of 66.1% and have sent 509 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped to the mound 124 times in high-pressure situations and also 140 times with runners on base. Washington’s relief pitchers have an Inherited Score Rate of 36.1% of their 202 runners taken. With 129 save situations, the Nationals have made 73 holds and 19 blown saves.

In their 11,562 innings on the field, the Nationals have a defensive efficiency of 67.2% (29th in the Major Leagues). The Washington Nationals have 140 double plays and a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in the MLB). The Nationals have 1,275 assists and 99 errors and have 3,854 putouts so far this season.

In his career so far, Parker has allowed 139 hits and has 122 punch outs in 136 innings pitched. Parker (career record 7-9) has a 4.43 ERA and has allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 67 earned runs while having a WHIP of 1.309 and a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.13 and he has struck out 580 opposing hitters so far in his professional baseball career.

Who will win today’s MLB game against the spread or the moneyline?

Parlay’s Pundit’s Pick: Take Washington (-175) and under 8.5 runs

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