Game: Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, September 27, 2024

Location: Rogers Center in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

The Toronto Blue Jays (74-85) host the Miami Marlins (58-100) at Rogers Center on Friday. The expected starting pitchers will be Adam Oller and Jose Berrios.

The Marlins as a unit hit 233 two-baggers and hit 146 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a .375 slugging percentage and has been called for strikes 1,366 times while walking 387 times. As a team, the Miami Marlins score 3.8 runs per contest, which is 28th in baseball. They have recorded 579 runs batted in and 1,297 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is .242. They scored 603 runs while maintaining a team OBP of .298.

Get all our MLB picks

The Marlins have a 4.80 earned run average (29th in the league) so far this season and the team has faced 1,290 hitters. Marlins pitchers have given up 192 home runs and a total of 828 runs (29th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 537 batters so far this season and their FIP as a team is 4.44. Miami allowed 1,399 base knocks (9.0 per 9 innings) and 745 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.40 and their pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.39.

The Marlins’ relief pitchers have taken runners to the mound 168 times and also had 179 appearances in high-leverage situations. Relief pitchers have recorded 77 holds so far this season (23rd in baseball). The Marlins bullpen has a save percentage of 54.5% and has stepped on the mound in 134 save situations. They made 30 saves this year and missed 25 of 55 chances to save the game. Relief pitchers have inherited 239 base runners this year and 37.7% of those runners have crossed the plate. The Marlins have sent 543 relievers to the mound this year.

The Miami Marlins have a total of 4,192 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,395 assists and 114 errors. Their fielding percentage is .980, which ranks them 30th in baseball, and they have a total of 118 double plays. The Marlins have converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs in their 12,576 innings, which ranks them 28th in the MLB.

Oller (4-13 career win-loss record) has a 6.46 FIP and has faced 602 opposing batters in the majors. He gave up 146 hits (10.1 hits per nine innings) and 71 free passes. His earned run average is 6.56 (95 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.664. Oller has taken the mound for 130 innings and has 92 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Blue Jays have a .391 SLG% and are scoring 4.18 runs per game (20th in baseball). They hit 278 doubles, drew 498 walks and scored 664 runs. Toronto has recorded 154 home runs and 633 RBIs so far this season. They were called out 1,212 times (25th in MLB) and totaled 1,286 base knocks. The Toronto Blue Jays have posted a team OBP of .314 and a batting average of .242 this year.

Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 717 runs this year while maintaining a 4.21 ERA (655 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 204 long balls and 4.61 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.266 and own a FIP of 4.42 as a team on the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.30 (1,290 strikeouts versus 493 free passes). As a pitching team, they rank 14th in the league with 1,279 hits allowed.

With 147 saves, the Blue Jays have accumulated 85 holds and 23 failed saves. In Toronto, bullpen pitchers took the mound in 59 save opportunities and made 36 saves. Their relief pitchers were used 127 times in high-leverage situations and 155 times with runners. Toronto’s bullpen pitchers have an inherited scoring percentage of 31.4% out of 239 inherited runners. They rank 23rd in the MLB with a save percentage of 61.0% and have sent 537 relievers to the mound this season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have made 124 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in MLB). The Blue Jays have recorded 1,330 assists, 91 errors and 4,201 total putouts this year. In 12,603 ​​innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have posted a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (5th in the majors).

For his career, Berrios has given up 1,308 hits and collected 1,339 K’s in 1,402 innings pitched. Berrios (99-76 career win-loss record) has posted a 4.04 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings. He conceded 630 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.228 and owning a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and has faced 5,891 batters over his career.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s pick: Take Miami

Get $60 worth of FREE Premium Member Tips. No obligation. No seller. No credit card. Quick sign up with instant access. Click here