On Monday, Karen Khachanov (No. 27 in the world) will face Carlos Alcaraz (No. 3) in the quarterfinals of the China Open.

Alcaraz has a -1205 chance of winning in this game against Khachanov (+650).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM sports betting. Odds updated at 2:35 a.m. ET on Monday. For a complete list of sports betting odds, visit the USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Information about the match between Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz

  • Tournament: China Open
  • Round: Quarterfinals
  • Date: Monday, September 30th
  • Court surface: Hard

Watch Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo!

Khachanov vs Alcaraz prediction

Based on the money line implied probability, Khachanov has a 92.3% win probability.

Khachanov vs Alcaraz betting odds

  • Khachanov’s chances of winning: +650
  • Alcaraz’s chances of winning the game: -1205
  • Khachanov’s chances of winning the tournament: +3300
  • Alcaraz’s chances of winning the tournament: +130

Performance and statistics for the matchup Khachanov vs. Alcaraz

  • Khachanov has won once and his hardcourt match record is 16-10 so far this year.
  • Khachanov has a win rate of 80.6% in service games on hard courts and a win rate of 25.0% in return games (266 out of 330 service games and 85 out of 340 return games).
  • Khachanov’s 73 break points won out of a total of 176 break points on hard courts this year (41.5% win rate) ranks him 27th.
  • Khachanov was eliminated on September 20 in the round of 16 of his last tournament (Hangzhou Open) 6:7, 6:4, 3:6 against 124th ranked Bu Yunchaokete.
  • Alcaraz has a record of 14-4 on hard courts this year and has one tournament victory.
  • Alcaraz has won 86.3% of his service games on hard courts and 32.3% of his return games.
  • Considering only the hard courts, Alcaraz converted 42.1% of his break point chances (67 of 159).
  • In the round of 64 of his last tournament (the US Open) on August 29, Alcaraz was eliminated by 74th ranked Botic Van de Zandschulp 1-6, 5-7, 4-6.