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Is S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) the best financial services stock according to hedge funds?
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Is S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) the best financial services stock according to hedge funds?

We recently published a list of The 9 best financial services stocks to buy now. In this article, we take a look at the position of S&P Global Inc. (NYSE:SPGI) in comparison to other stocks in the Financial Services sector.

Despite significant turbulence in financial markets in August, the global financing situation remains stable. Despite significant declines in equity and corporate bond markets, financing conditions have not tightened significantly, suggesting resilience in borrowing.

However, after a decline of almost 10%, the broad U.S. stock market is still 5% below its July peak. Similar declines have been seen in European stocks, although there has been some recovery there; the market of the 500 largest companies is up 3% since its August low.

Corporate bond markets have also been affected. Higher-rated corporate bonds have seen risk premiums rise, but not enough to significantly affect credit conditions. The current market volatility has not significantly affected corporate or household financing conditions, according to Chris Jeffrey of Legal & General Investment Management. This view is supported by a major global financial institution’s financial conditions index, which indicates that while conditions have tightened since mid-July, they are still historically loose and more accommodative than during much of last year.

Amid the financial turmoil, the financial services industry has faced challenges but has also shown resilience. The long-term outlook for the industry remains positive. As we mentioned in our article: “The 25 largest financial companies in the world“The financial services industry is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 7.7% over the next few years, from $31,138.82 billion in 2023 to $33,539.52 billion in 2024.. In 2023, Western Europe had the largest share of the financial services market, with North America in second place. Financial services are being transformed by generative AI, offering opportunities for creativity and efficiency.

The McKinsey Global Institute (MGI) claims that banks are racing to implement Gen AI and that its full potential can be realized with the right operating model. According to MGI, the use of Gen AI in the global banking market has the potential to generate value of $200 billion to $340 billion per year, or 2.8 percent to 4.7 percent of industry revenue, primarily through increased productivity. A new study by MGI examined the use of Gen AI at 16 of the largest financial institutions in the U.S. and Europe, which collectively manage nearly $26 trillion in assets. According to the study, more than half of the organizations studied have adopted a more centrally controlled structure for next-generation AI, even if their current data and analytics architecture is relatively decentralized. In addition, according to EY, artificial intelligence is transforming financial markets by improving risk management and enhancing the customer experience due to its wide range of uses.

RSM US’s Financial Services Industry Outlook 2024 also notes that the financial services market is evolving rapidly, with a focus on responsible AI in insurance. Similar measures are also being taken by states. For example, insurance companies are required to California Consumer Privacy Act to explain how AI is used in pricing and coverage decisions; violations result in heavy fines. Second, the number of customer-friendly investment products is also increasing. Retail investors are the focus of growing interest from asset managers, exchanges and broker-dealers. Finally, the actual exposure of financial institutions to CRE maturities is another trend in the financial services industry. Therefore, financial institutions analyzing CRE-related risks should conduct a thorough credit risk assessment.

Methodology:

We sifted through the holdings of financial services and financial media ETFs to create an initial list of 20 financial services stocks. Then we selected the 9 stocks with the highest upside potential. The stocks are sorted in ascending order of their upside potential.

Due to our methodology, we excluded some heavyweights in the financial services industry because they had a negative consensus on upside potential.

Why do we care about the stocks hedge funds invest in? The reason is simple: Our research shows that we can outperform the market by mimicking the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks each quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (See more details here)

A group of analysts studies data on a large monitor.

S&P Global Inc. (NYSE:SPGI)

Analysts’ upside potential: 9.17%

S&P Global Inc. (NYSE:SPGI), one of the world’s largest credit ratings companies, provides the global capital and commodity markets with transparent, unbiased ratings, benchmarks, analytics and data. This is an important benefit because it gives the company a competitive advantage, enhances its reputation and helps it attract and retain clients.

S&P Global Inc. (NYSE:SPGI)’s credit ratings and indexing revenue are well known to many of us. However, the company has recently developed more depth than most people realize, venturing into new business opportunities such as market intelligence, mobility and commodity insights. Therefore, S&P Global can be viewed as an integrated company with numerous new growth opportunities.

Strong demand for S&P Global’s data and analytics solutions drove second-quarter 2024 revenue up 14% year-over-year to $3.549 billion. Adjusted operating margin increased 50.7% year-over-year. The company raised its full-year expectations after reporting better-than-expected earnings, forecasting revenue growth of 8% to 10% and adjusted earnings per share between $14.35 and $14.60.

The prospect of interest rate cuts and a soft landing for the economy, where inflation falls without a recession or significant job losses, has prompted investors to spend more money on products that help them make better investment decisions, benefiting companies like S&P Global.

Artisan Global Discovery Fund stated the following about S&P Global Inc. (NYSE:SPGI) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:

“We exited our investment campaigns in BJ’s Wholesale Club, Moncler and S&P Global Inc. (NYSE:SPGI) during the quarter. We acquired shares of S&P Global when it merged with IHS Markit. S&P Global is one of the world’s largest credit rating agencies and a provider of benchmarks, data and analytics for the global capital and commodity markets. The company has been going through a period of free cash flow expansion due to merger-related cost-cutting measures. However, we believe this opportunity is emerging. In addition, recent earnings results showed disappointing guidance, including lower growth in ratings revenue. Given the slowdown in the earnings cycle, we have decided to sell our position.”

The biggest risks to the company are unexpected economic downturns that could reduce demand for S&P Global’s data and analytics products, and increased competition that could put pressure on the company’s pricing power and market share. In addition, any postponement of interest rate cuts could impact the company’s growth prospects.

However, with a buy recommendation, the average 12-month price target for SPGI shares is $537.82 according to estimates by 11 analysts. The average target represents an increase of 9.17% from the current share price of $492.65.

Total SPGI takes 8th place on our list of the best financial services stocks to buy. While we recognize SPGI’s potential as an investment, we believe some AI stocks promise higher returns and do so in a shorter time frame. If you’re looking for an AI stock that’s more promising than SPGI but trades at less than 5 times earnings, read our report on the cheapest AI stock.

READ MORE: $30 trillion opportunity: The 15 best humanoid robot stocks to buy, according to Morgan Stanley And According to Jim Cramer, NVIDIA has “become a wasteland”.

Disclosure: None. This article was originally published on Insider Monkey.

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