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Bills-Ravens Player Props: Look for Dalton Kincaid to have a big game
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Bills-Ravens Player Props: Look for Dalton Kincaid to have a big game

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Against Jacksonville, Kincaid ended up with a good stat line of 41 yards and a TD on three receptions, although he wasn’t needed in the second half of the Bills’ 47-10 win.

Overall, Kincaid ranks second on the team in targets (10), and he is also second in target percentage (13.7%). He’s also tied for second in first-read targets (7), but leads the Bills in set target percentage (30 percent).

It also looks like it will be an exciting duel against the Ravens, whose pass defense was a disaster at the beginning of the season. They have allowed by far the most passing yards in the NFL at 315.3 per game, while the next closest team has allowed 270.7 yards.

Baltimore also allows the sixth-most yards per route run and the fifth-most yards per target, so it’s not just about volume. Part of the Ravens’ pass-stopping problem is targeting tight ends.

They have allowed 93.3 yards per game specifically to tight ends, which is the second-highest in the NFL. In Week 2, Brock Bowers had nine receptions for 98 yards and last week, Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson had six receptions for 95 yards.

Look for Kincaid to get going in this game.

Dalton Kincaid o36.5 receiving yards (-110): 1 unit

Josh Allen Anytime TD (+135) FanDuel

Note: Allen must enter the end zone as a runner or receiver to receive money as the ATTD market only applies to rushing/receiving TDs.

After rushing for a touchdown in 15 of 18 games, Allen has now gone two straight games without a rushing TD, making this matchup the perfect opportunity to buy back into his Anytime Touchdown base.

The run Allen made in the touchdown department in the first week of this season was pretty absurd. In fact, he ran for two touchdowns five times in a row during that 18-game stretch. For those of you keeping score at home, he had more games with two touchdowns than zero.

The last two games have been a disaster for the Bills, so Allen didn’t have to risk injury by using his legs in the red zone.

Two weeks ago against the Dolphins, Allen threw just six pass attempts in the second half as the Bills beat Miami 31-10 while the score was 24-10 at halftime.

Then, against the Jaguars in Week 3, the Bills led 34-3 at halftime en route to a 47-10 win, and Allen didn’t attempt a pass after halftime.

So that’s two weeks in a row where Allen hasn’t had to use his legs much, but we’re not expecting an easy win for Buffalo against the Ravens.

First of all, this game is not expected to be a blast like the last two games. The Ravens are slight favorites, but it should still be a close game.

The Ravens are also a passable team, as previously mentioned, but they have stood firm against the run. Through three games, Baltimore has allowed the fewest rushing yards per game (50), along with the fewest yards per carry (2.83) and the fifth-lowest explosive run percentage.

That’s partly because of how successful opposing offenses were when throwing the ball against the Ravens, but when teams tried to compete against them, they didn’t have much luck.

So the guess here is that Allen will drop back early and often to pass, and when the Bills get close to the red zone, he will use his legs, which he has done a lot of in his last 20 games.

Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown (+135): 1 unit

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