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Fantasy Football: 4 QBs who will disappear in the 2024 draft
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Fantasy Football: 4 QBs who will disappear in the 2024 draft

Beware! Not all players will return their promised value in the 2024 fantasy football drafts? The Yahoo Fantasy team identifies five quarterback fades to avoid at their current ADP.

Yahoo!: 47.5

I don’t know any pundits who think Richardson is bad, but some analysts are praising him for the summer draft season. In fact, my esteemed colleague Dalton Del ranks Don Richardson as his No. 1 quarterback. I realize that Richardson works with head coach Shane Steichen, one of the most admired playmakers. I also realize that Richardson did some fun stuff last year before he got hurt.

But we’re also talking about a player with four games of NFL experience, coming off a short and checkered career in Florida in which he attempted just 393 passes. I see Anthony Richardson’s potential, but he’s often drafted at his ceiling, and I probably wouldn’t give a player who has barely played since high school that kind of chance. If you’re looking for an exciting young, mobile quarterback at a more reasonable price, consider Jayden Daniels. — Scott Pianoski

Yahoo!: 59.2

Burrow suffered a rare, season-ending wrist injury last year that no NFL quarterback has ever experienced. He said he had “good days and bad days” in May, although a training camp injury is nothing new for Burrow.

Injuries aside, there are other red flags with Burrow. Even if we completely discount his shockingly poor first six games of last season (5.3 YPA!) due to his calf injury, the overall change in Cincinnati’s offense points to a larger problem. Burrow has become a check-down artist since opposing defenses started using two high safeties frequently. Last season, he ranked 38th in downfield passing rate in 2022 and 32nd in intended air yards per attempt, and reports from Bengals camp suggest it will be more of the same in 2024. Quarterbacks can thrive with a low aDOT, but truly top-notch fantasy production will be much harder (see: Patrick Mahomes), especially without a running game.

Burrow was great when healthy after Cincinnati’s off-season last season, and it’s possible the Bengals will pass more often with Joe Mixon gone. But Burrow probably won’t run much at this stage of his career, and he’s managed just 6.98 YPA since 2022 (26 games) while intentionally throwing much more under the ball. There’s risk here, even beyond injury history.

Burrow is drafted as QB7 in the Yahoo leagues, just ahead of Kyler Murray and 50 tips earlier than Jayden Daniels – two dual-threat QBs with higher fantasy potential who don’t have to face the Ravens, Steelers and Browns defenses in 35% of their schedule. – Dalton Del Don

Yahoo!: 107.5

Given the extreme depth of quarterbacks this year, your goal should be to draft a quarterback with potential rather than playing it safe. Take a risk and draft a quarterback who can realistically go in the top five. If your quarterback is underwhelming, there are plenty of solid streaming options on the waiver list. I turn down quarterbacks who simply lack the potential to go in the top five, and my biggest turnoff is Tua Tagovailoa.

In addition to his lack of rushing potential, Tua has trouble scoring fantasy points in games against strong defenses and in cold weather. Tua’s playoff schedule calls for games against Houston, San Francisco and Cleveland. In the pre-playoff games, he faces New England, plays at Green Bay in a possible weather game and faces the Jets. Tua is a low-end QB1 at best and you’ll be forced to give up on him before Week 12. — Tera Roberts

Yahoo!: 45.0

Given the strength of his receiver corps, it’s difficult to shut down Stroud. The ability to throw to the trio of Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell is nothing to sneeze at and should lead to continued efficiency in the passing game and likely an increase in touchdown production. But will that be enough to make up for the lack of edge he offers in the rushing department?

Consider that in the last five seasons, there have only been two quarterbacks who have finished in the top five at the position with fewer than 200 rushing yards: Tom Brady (2021) and Aaron Rodgers (2021, 2020). Stroud, on the other hand, has never rushed for more than 200 yards in a single season (not even since high school). As much as I hate to cut a guy who I could totally see becoming the NFL MVP in real life, the odds just aren’t high enough that he’ll add significant value if he’s drafted this early.

I would rather spend a round early on Lamar Jackson (ADP of 35.5) or wait for Anthony Richardson or Kyler Murray to be drafted after Stroud in the Yahoo leagues. — Kate Magdziuk

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