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    • Hurricane Center is tracking 5 systems, including a system in the Caribbean
    Idaho

    Hurricane Center is tracking 5 systems, including a system in the Caribbean

    Madoc Meredith Posted on

    The storm that was Hurricane Helene is no more, and recovery and assessment now begins from Florida’s Gulf Coast and Big Bend through western North Carolina to the Tennessee and Ohio Valley areas of the United States.

    The National Hurricane Center issued its final warning on the Helene system Friday evening as North Carolina compared its epic flooding to another catastrophic event, calling the storm its “own Hurricane Katrina.” The situation is dire as places in and around Asheville have no power and no water since Sunday afternoon.

    New systems are brewing in the tropics as forecasters track two named storms in the Atlantic on Sunday and three more potential tropical systems as of 2 p.m. Tropical Weather Outlook.

    At 5 p.m., the National Hurricane Center issued its first warning for Tropical Depression 12 in the eastern Atlantic.

    Where are Hurricane Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce?

    Hurricane Isaac is several hundred miles west-northwest of the Azores and Tropical Storm Joyce is located over the central tropical Atlantic. From 5pm on Sunday, Joyce gradually became weaker. None of the named storms are expected to impact the country.

    There is also a tropical wave in the Atlantic with a medium chance of developing over the next week.

    When is the next hurricane coming?

    The western Caribbean remained a place of concern Sunday, where a low pressure system could form and move into the Gulf of Mexico early next week. It is still too early to tell whether this system will develop into a hurricane, but activity there is similar to that observed in the early days of what would become Hurricane Helene.

    ➤ Spaghetti Models for Hurricane Isaac

    ➤ Weather warnings via SMS: Sign up to receive updates on current storms and weather events by location

    AccuWeather Senior Director of Forecasting Operations Dan DePodwin reported that an area of ​​high pressure is expected to develop over the eastern United States during the second half of next week, which could push a brewing tropical storm further west compared to Helene’s path .

    “However, at this early stage, it is still too early to rule out any possibilities regarding future development of a potential tropical storm,” DePodwin said.

    Regardless, all stakeholders from Mexico to the Gulf Coast of the United States are urged to remain vigilant to the latest developments in the tropical Atlantic.

    A system several hundred miles from the Cabo Verde Islands in the Atlantic could be the next named storm.

    The next named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is Kirk.

    Here is the latest update from the National Hurricane Center as of Sunday, September 29th at 2 p.m.:

    ➤ Track all active storms

    ➤ Live updates: Check out the latest on Helene’s impact

    Is there another hurricane out there? Here’s what you should know about Hurricane Isaac:

    • Location: 565 miles west-northwest of the Azores
    • Maximum continuous wind: 70 miles per hour
    • Movement: Northeast at 12 miles per hour

    As of 5 p.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Storm Isaac was near latitude 43.8 north and longitude 34.7 west.

    Isaac is moving northeast at about 12 miles per hour, and this general movement is expected to continue over the next few days, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast to the north on Tuesday.

    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to around 80 mph with stronger gusts and further weakening is expected over the next few days. Isaac is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone by early Monday.

    Tropical Storm Joyce: What you should know

    • Location: 940 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands
    • Maximum sustained wind: 40 miles per hour
    • Movement: West-northwest at 6 mph

    As of 5 p.m. EDT, the center of Tropical Storm Joyce was near latitude 22.2 north and longitude 49.2 west.

    Joyce is moving northwest at 6 miles per hour, and this general movement of decreasing forward speed is expected through this evening. A turn to the north and north-northeast is forecast for Monday and Tuesday.

    Maximum sustained winds will remain around 45 mph, with stronger gusts. Weakening is forecast and Joyce is expected to fall into a depression early Monday and then into a remnant low on Tuesday.

    ➤ Spaghetti Models for Tropical Storm Joyce

    Spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Joyce

    What else is there and how likely are they to intensify?

    Western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico: An extensive low pressure area over the western Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    Environmental conditions are expected to favor gradual development thereafter and a tropical depression could form around the middle of next week. This system is expected to move northwest into the Gulf of Mexico during the second half of next week, and stakeholders in the northwest Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should monitor its progress.

    • Chance of development within 48 hours: low, close to 0 percent.
    • Educational opportunity over 7 days: medium, 50 percent.

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: Tropical Depression 12 has formed west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands.

    The environmental conditions are favorable for the further development of this system. The low will continue to move west and then northwest across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

    • Chance of education within 48 hours: medium, 80 percent.
    • Chance of occurrence over 7 days: high, 90 percent.

    East Atlantic: A tropical wave near the coast of West Africa is currently producing limited shower activity. Gradual development of this system is possible over the next few days as it slowly moves westward or west-northwestward over the eastern Atlantic.

    • Chance of development within 48 hours: low, close to 0 percent.
    • Chance of occurrence over 7 days: low, 30 percent.

    What do the colored areas on the NOAA map mean?

    The shaded areas on a tropical outlook map indicate “areas where a tropical cyclone – which could be a tropical depression, a tropical storm or a hurricane – could develop,” said National Hurricane Deputy Director Jamie Rhome Center.

    The colors make it clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange being medium and red being high.

    The National Hurricane Center generally does not issue tropical warnings until there is a named storm, but there is one exception.

    “If a system is near land and has potential for development, the National Hurricane Center will not wait to issue warnings, even if the system has not yet become a true storm. This gives residents time to prepare,” Rhome said.

    Who is likely to be affected?

    The damage was caused by widespread, significant river flooding in the southern Appalachians from Tropical Storm Helene, some of which is record-breaking. The extent of the damage is currently being assessed as Helen has now passed away.

    ➤ Forecasting excessive rainfall

    There is a possibility of extended power outages in parts of the southeastern United States. If you use a generator, be sure to place it outdoors at least 20 feet away from doors, windows and garages to avoid deadly carbon monoxide poisoning.

    Meteorologists urge all residents to continue to monitor the tropics and always be prepared. This advice is particularly important during what is expected to be a very active hurricane season.

    There is no threat of landfall from new storms in the tropics on Sunday.

    Weather warnings and warnings are issued in Florida

    Stay informed. Receive weather alerts via SMS

    When is hurricane season over?

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th.

    The Atlantic Basin includes the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

    When is the peak of hurricane season?

    The peak of the season was September 10, with most activity occurring between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

    National Hurricane Center Map: What Are Meteorologists Watching Now?

    Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:

    Interactive map: Hurricanes and tropical storms that passed near your city

    Excessive rainfall forecast

    What’s next?

    We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local website’s app to ensure you’re always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here.

    (This story has been updated to add new information.)

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    Madoc Meredith
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