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DraftKings games and strategy for Wednesday, September 25
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DraftKings games and strategy for Wednesday, September 25

Wednesday’s main slate gives us nine games since there aren’t many road games. As we’ve noted in the last few slates, you’ll want to look at lineups and starting pitchers before lineups are set in the final week of the regular season since many players are still moving around.

Jugs

It’s a top-heavy day for the pitching pool. Chris Sales ($11,100) leads this tier in a scenario where Atlanta needs to win against the Mets almost immediately. He hasn’t been quite as dominant as his velocity has dropped in recent starts. The team was aware of this and gave Sale an extra day of rest between starts. Even if that doesn’t help, Sale has still been effective enough to put up performances in the low to mid-20s in DraftKings points (he’s scored 19+ points in eight of his last ten games). He’s a very solid option, especially in cash games.

Dylan Cease ($9,300) He had a slump in late August but has since rebounded, shutting out the Giants and Astros in back-to-back starts. He faces a tough test against the Dodgers, but he’s still valuable relative to his skill set. Zac Gallen ($9,000) is priced in a similar range and is another boom-bust option. He leads the pitcher pool in strikeout percentage over the last 30 days (30.9 percent), but has paired that with a 10 percent walk rate and 1.7 HR/9. The Giants are also a good opponent.

As already mentioned in the introduction to this section, things get tricky when

Wednesday’s main slate gives us nine games since there aren’t many road games. As we’ve noted in the last few slates, you’ll want to look at lineups and starting pitchers before lineups are set in the final week of the regular season since many players are still moving around.

Jugs

It’s a top-heavy day for the pitching pool. Chris Sales ($11,100) leads this tier in a scenario where Atlanta needs to win against the Mets almost immediately. He hasn’t been quite as dominant as his velocity has dropped in recent starts. The team was aware of this and gave Sale an extra day of rest between starts. Even if that doesn’t help, Sale has still been effective enough to put up performances in the low to mid-20s in DraftKings points (he’s scored 19+ points in eight of his last ten games). He’s a very solid option, especially in cash games.

Dylan Cease ($9,300) He had a slump in late August but has since rebounded, shutting out the Giants and Astros in back-to-back starts. He faces a tough test against the Dodgers, but he’s still valuable relative to his skill set. Zac Gallen ($9,000) is priced in a similar range and is another boom-bust option. He leads the pitcher pool in strikeout percentage over the last 30 days (30.9 percent), but has paired that with a 10 percent walk rate and 1.7 HR/9. The Giants are also a good opponent.

As mentioned in the introduction of this section, things get tricky after the top options. This brings us to Edward Cabrera ($6,200)who ranks third among available pitchers with a 26.4 percent strikeout rate over the past month. He has a 3.81 ERA, matched by a 3.88 SIERA over that time frame. The matchup also works in his favor, as the Twins have a .275 wOBA and a 23.8 percent strikeout rate over that same time frame.

Top rackets

Xavier Edwards ($4,500) had a few struggles in early September when he came off the injured list (IL) and has still produced inconsistent results. However, he has the leadoff position secured with the Marlins and faces an exploitable matchup against Simeon Woods Richardson, who has a 1.67 WHIP and 5.75 ERA over the past 30 days. Also consider Jesus Sanchez ($3,300) as a value option.

The Cardinals have had some worthwhile options at bat lately, but perhaps not the names you would expect. Masyn Winn ($4,500) is probably somewhere in between, but has a .234 ISO and .339 wOBA against lefties and a matchup against Austin Gomber at Coors Field.

Valuable clubs

Trevor Larnach ($3,000) And Matt Wallner ($4,200) have alternated at second in the Twins’ lineup, with Larnach getting the nod lately. Be sure to check out the lineups to see who’s getting the nod. Cabrera is a good punt player, but definitely doesn’t have perfect skills. Meanwhile, Larnach has a .339 wOBA and a .185 ISO against right-handers this season.

Stacks to consider

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox (Richard Fitts): Nathan Lukes (3,600 USD), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (5,300 USD), Spencer Horwitz ($3,800)

This is the second day in a row that the Jays have been highlighted in this section. The middle of the lineup is depleted but has at least done enough of late to make the team a league-average offense, but the matchup is the Jays’ real draw. Fitts has good surface stats but only an 11.1 percent strikeout rate and a 3.2 K-BB ratio. Meanwhile, his 5.57 SIERA is the worst in the pitcher pool by nearly a full run. Best of all, this is a cheap stack, so it’s a good fit for those looking to pay big for the pitcher.

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (Marcus Stroman): Gunnar Henderson (6,200 USD), Jordan Westburg (4,700 USD), Anthony Santander ($5,200)

This is a tricky situation as both teams have little left to gain in the standings, so we could see a watered down Orioles lineup after they secure a postseason spot. However, with Stroman expected to return to the starting lineup, this is an exploitable matchup as he has most of the skill deficiencies mentioned above for Fitts. I would take a close look at Baltimore’s pre-lockdown lineup to see who is in the lineup.

Alternatively, you may consider stacking the Diamondbacks, Marlins, or either of the two teams that play at Coors Field.

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