Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 90-67 this season and have won three of their last five games. Cleveland just lost a series against St. Louis, where they lost two of three games. Before this series, the Guardians won three of four games against the Twins, split four games with the Rays and swept the White Sox. Cleveland is 6-3 in their last nine games and has clinched the AL Central.

Cleveland’s pitchers have a 3.64 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average. The Guardians’ offense has scored 692 runs with a .238 batting average and a .308 on-base percentage. Jose Ramirez has a .274 batting average with 37 home runs and 112 RBIs for the Guardians this season.

Starting pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Jakob Junis, who is 4-0 in 62.0 innings pitched this year, has a 2.61 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP. Junis has allowed one or less earned runs in four consecutive starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 11-8 in 166.2 innings pitched this season, has a 3.56 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Bibee has allowed two or less earned runs in three of his last four starts.

Why the Reds will beat the Guardians

• The Reds have won their last four games as underdogs after a home defeat.
• The Guardians, as home favourites, have lost three of their last four games after a defeat to the Reds.
• As home favorites against National League opponents, the Guardians have failed to cover the run line in their last 13 Tuesday night games.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs after a home loss.

Facts about the total number of runs

• In nine of the Reds’ last ten night games against American League opponents, the total number of runs has been exceeded.
• Six of the last seven games between the Reds and Guardians were BELOW the total runs line.
• The Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 Runs market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three games.
• The “1st Inning UNDER 0.5 Runs” market has struck in each of the Reds’ last three night games at Progressive Field.

Facts about the Cleveland Guardians player props

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games as favorites against opponents from the NL Central.
• Josh Naylor has hit a double in each of the Guardians’ last three night games against losing NL Central opponents.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians’ last five night games against opponents with a losing record.
• Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in five of the Guardians’ last six games as favorites against opponents from the NL Central.
• Jose Ramirez has scored at least one goal in each of the Guardians’ last ten games as favorites.
• Myles Straw has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents with a losing record.
• Myles Straw has singled in each of his last seven appearances against losing NL opponents.

Facts about the Cincinnati Reds players

• TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two night games against AL opponents with winning records.
• Spencer Steer has doubled in three of the Reds’ last four games as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
• Ty France has recorded an RBI in each of the Reds’ last six games as an underdog against AL opponents.
• Ty France has scored at least one run in seven of the Reds’ last eight games against AL opponents.
• TJ Friedl has hit at least one single in each of the Reds’ last five road games against opponents with winning records.
• TJ Friedl has scored at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Reds as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
• Amed Rosario has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.

Prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland comes into this game having already won the AL Central, but they’re still within striking distance of the Yankees, who are in first place in the AL. The Guardians have a 48-28 record at home this year, while the Reds have a 37-39 record on the road. Cincinnati just fired their manager, which could potentially motivate them for the final six games, but they really have nothing left on the line. Both of these starting pitchers have been very solid lately, and I think the Reds do have some value. I like what I’ve seen from Junis, so bring on the Reds and the extra money.