Political analyst Mark Halperin argued that Vice President Kamala Harris may not win the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania and that this could cost her the 2024 election.

“I asked the people in the state, the national campaign strategists, two questions – one is who is currently ahead in the race and where Pennsylvania ranks in terms of the 1st to 7th states where Harris is most likely to win,” Halperin said during a livestream on his media platform 2WAY on Wednesday.

None of the strategists Halperin spoke to ranked Pennsylvania as the swing state where Harris is most likely to win, and one strategist placed Pennsylvania at the bottom of the swing states where she was likely to win, he said.

“As you can see here, one of my sources who I trust very much and who is a very smart person put Pennsylvania at number six, the sixth most likely state for Harris to win. If that’s true and Harris loses Pennsylvania, she’s almost certainly not going to win (the 2024 race),” he said.

Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally at the Enmarket Arena in Savannah, Georgia on Thursday. (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Political analyst: New polls show Harris ‘not ahead of Trump’, campaign should soon be in ‘scary situation’

While this could still happen, it would be “very difficult” to implement, he argued.

That prediction was backed by two Democratic insiders Halperin spoke to Wednesday who “know the state very well.”

They believed Harris was “not only behind” but would “probably lose the state,” he said.

“They didn’t rule out that she could win, but they thought it was unlikely. If you believe that, you can’t make her the favorite, and you almost can’t even say that this race is neck and neck,” Halperin continued.

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump. (Getty Images)

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“That’s the crucial game, right? It’s a question of ‘Where do you get 270 electoral votes?'” he continued. “If Harris can’t win Pennsylvania … it’s very difficult to see what her best path is.”

Pennsylvania is one of the seven swing states that decided the 2020 election between Trump and President Biden, and is seen by both campaign teams as the states that will determine the outcome of the 2024 presidential election.

National polls show the race between the two candidates remains close, with the latest Real Clear Politics polling average showing Harris leading by a narrow 1.9 points. Leading over Trump at the national levelIn Pennsylvania, the proportion remains the same at 47%.

The two candidates will be in the Keystone State this week, where they will face off in prime time in Philadelphia next week.

Trump will headline a Fox News town hall meeting on Wednesday night, and Harris plans to return to the swing state on Thursday.

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Political commentator Karl Rove warned Democrats on Tuesday that Harris’ narrow margin may not be enough to defeat Trump in November.

“On this day in 2020, Joe Biden was 7.1% ahead of Donald Trump in the Real Clear Politics average. And at this point in 2016, Hillary Clinton was 6.3% ahead. As you remember, the election came down to a handful of votes in a handful of states,” Rove said in an interview with Fox News’ “America’s Newsroom.”

Fox News’ Paul Steinhauser and Jeffrey Clark contributed to this report.